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If there is an intervention in Venezuela, would we face a scenario of International Law rules void that allows us to disguise a military intervention?
Guaidó is between the sword and the wall. On the one hand, he mentions that "he has the cards on the table" referring to a possible military intervention: on the other hand, the International Community has reiterated that it will not intervene militarily. However, when the necessary evidence of an intervention is evident, would we be faced with a scenario of a vacuum in the rules of International Law that would allow us to disguise a military intervention?
Leer en español: Venezuela: ¿ podría haber una intervención militar?
Recently Juan Guaidó expressed via Twitter that he saw the need to "put all the cards on the table", which evidently refers to a military intervention, whether or not by the United States. Even so, this scenario is increasingly distant from what could actually happen as it has been debated twice in the Security Council of the United Nations, in meetings of the Organization of American States (OAS) and even in the last meeting of Grupo de Lima that was held in Bogotá where Juan Guaidó was present.
This creates a great inconvenience for many people who yearn for military intervention since there is no other viable and quick alternative to do this . I personally see it as the most convenient option, but unfortunately every day that idea disappears more because it would bring more international problems than Venezuela does today.
However, says Professor Juan Carlos Sosa, writer, university professor and Venezuelan lawyer, in his course Energizing Ideas, what could be the "perfect disguise" for this intervention. In a technical sense it would not be a military intervention, because in the way that Professor Sosa proposes it would be a matter of bilateral cooperation between both countries, which would serve to save us from Public International Law; that would allow us to act quickly, without bureaucracy or endless diplomacy.
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Explains the teacher that would be six steps to follow to achieve it:
1. Juan Guaidó must sign an agreement with the DEA, authorizing his penetration into Venezuelan territory to capture the members of the Soles Cartel, headed by Maduro y Cabello. This action is achieved in a single day and would provoke the immediate support of the 4 components of the Armed Forces.
2. Said state security forces wish to support Juan Guaidó, but are unable to speak out as long as the leaders of the Suns Cartel remain in the commandos. Having captured those leaders, the Armed Forces would be freed and so would have free passage to support the Legitimate President.
3. To achieve this support, it is convenient that the Acting President designate as soon as possible a Joint Chiefs of Staff , made up of military personnel with these 3 characteristics: dignity, honesty and competence, which, according to the professor, are already located.
4. As soon as the leaders of the Suns Cartel are captured, said Joint Staff must assume the material control of the Armed Forces, becoming their genuine leaders, and they must be obeyed.
5. In order to guarantee peace and control of subversive elements (collectives, militias, terrorist cells, narco-guerrillas), the Acting President must sign a bilateral military assistance agreement with the United States, which would allow the installation of military bases in Venezuela with the plan called "Venezuela Plan".
6. Said "Plan Venezuela", as it worked the "Plan Colombia", will allow to receive continuous military assistance, which will facilitate the work of the DEA and will also give strength to our military to successfully fight and keep at bay the groups subversives.
The professor concludes that the application of this strategy guarantees three important points internationally: first, not having to ask the International Community for permission; second, avoid falling into the trap of International Law and its eternal bureaucracy; third, not to be rejected by the International Community since it would be immoral for any country to oppose combating drug trafficking and terrorism. Ultimately, as the issue of Bilateral National Security , both the United States and Venezuela can agree on their terms at will, which would guarantee Trump the unanimous support of the United States Congress and world public opinion . All this without violating any principle of International Law and acting quickly.
LatinAmerican Post | Enmanuel Benavides
Translated from "Venezuela: ¿podría haber una intervención militar?